Crime rates in Ontario have declined over a 30-year period and today remain at historic lows.
Officers per 100,000 peaked in 2010 and then began to decline, with crime rates bottoming out around 2015.
Empirical evidence should help drive decisions about resource allocation.
Crime severity is positively and significantly related to police officers per 100,000.
Windsor, Thunder Bay, Brantford and Sudbury have the highest crime severity in the province.
Crimes rates in the province have grown since 2015, except for a sharp drop in 2020.
The proposed new policing model will have more staff, higher costs and fewer police officers.
From 2013 to 2016, police officers per 100,000 in Canada fell by nearly 4 per cent.